Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Splish Splash

I’m decidedly negative on the market, but I always have a positive bias when looking for stocks. After seeing an odd upgrade on a company I’ve been tracking for a few years, I took a closer look. Buy Aqua America (WTR) (around 21 if possible) if you want a good solid long term stock.

Why buy the largest water utilities company? UBS initiated WTR at a buy on September 22nd, making five consecutive analysts buy signals since the stock dropped to its low this May.

Here is a map from the UN website showing projections for future clean water.
When the two most populated countries in the world have a hard time finding clean water, you have an opportunity to profit.

But wait, Aqua America is only in the U.S. so how can they supply India? This is true, and it gives me more reason to suggest the highest market cap water company. WTR will have enough capital to be able to grow into other countries when the time comes.

This all seems so far in the future, but to an investor’s retirement account 15-20 years is just right. Again I am suggesting this stock as a long term buy.

Lets take a look at the charts:
  • Daily-The stock price remains at 21.5 while the MACD has risen near the 0 line. A trend with the Slow STO is telling the stock to bounce at levels below 20.
  • Weekly- WTR has a 200 week MA at 18.5. This support level is too strong for WTR to fall below.
So what’s the drawback? The problem with most water companies are that they look overvalued. WTR has a PEG ratio over 2. Ouch. It seems investors have already come to the conclusion that water is a good investment. If you think that WTR needs to pull back before you buy, believe me when I say that this baby will bounce on its 200Week MA (if it actually drops to that level).

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

buy PHO

airborneintell said...

WTR is a good stock but WTS is better.
Andrey at stockforlife.blogspot.com

l said...

Anon- PHO would work wonderfully also, although I disagree with its largest holding, Idexx Laboratories, I still think that PHO will do well long term.

Andrey- While I don't disagree that WTS is a good play for the clean water market, they are uncomparable.

WTR is a water utilities company, while WTS manufactures water quality products.

There are much higer profit margins in utilities companys, and these companies are ready to expand, while water quality product companies have already pushed into the eastern markets.

I don't want to discount WTS though, in all fairness, it could be an excellent pick too. I guess it's just a matter of opinion.

Thanks for the comments

airborneintell said...

Hi Christopher!
Do you have an opinion on NANX?
Andrey...

l said...

Allow me to respond in my next post, I have had a nanotech post on the backburner for a week or two now.